Adams Jr. To Start vs. Stamps

Adams Jr. To Start vs. Stamps

The NFL is back, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t value in betting on football north of the border in Canada.

Week 15 only features three matchups in the CFL, as the Toronto Argonauts, Ottawa Redblacks, and Montreal Alouettes will all enjoy a bye week. This week’s slate is highlighted by the Saturday night showdown between the BC Lions and Calgary Stampeders, with the victor moving into second place in the West Division behind the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

Here’s a look at the latest CFL Grey Cup outright odds, followed by our Week 15 betting preview:

Winnipeg Blue Bombers +100 (opened +300)
Calgary Stampeders +450 (opened +700)
BC Lions +450 (opened +1300)
Toronto Argonauts +550 (opened +600)
Saskatchewan Roughriders +800 (opened +450)
Montreal Alouettes +1500 (opened +800)
Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3000 (opened +500)
Ottawa Redblacks +10000 (opened +2000)
Edmonton Elks +20000 (opened +1500)

*All odds in this article courtesy of PointsBet.

Climbing and don’t need a ladder: @TorontoArgos


— CFL (@CFL) September 12, 2022

Edmonton Elks @ Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7.5, 50 over/under)

Previous meetings this season:

Week 2 — Saskatchewan 26, Edmonton 16 (Roughriders covered as 7.5-point favorites)
Week 10 — Saskatchewan 34, Edmonton 23 (Roughriders covered as 7-point favorites)

About the Elks (3-10 straight up, 5-8 against the spread, 8-5 o/u): The Elks are a broken football team after an embarrassing 56-28 loss to the Stampeders at home last week. Edmonton has now dropped 14 straight games at Commonwealth Stadium, tying the CFL record for most consecutive home losses (Ottawa 1987-88). The Elks’ last home win was Oct. 12, 2019, a 19-6 victory over the Lions.

There is some good news this week for the struggling team, though.

For starters, Friday’s game against the Roughriders is in Saskatchewan, and the Elks are a much better 3-4 (and 5-2 ATS) on the road this year — although all three of those road wins came against East Division foes (Montreal, Hamilton, Ottawa).

Secondly, quarterback Tre Ford will be active for the first time since Week 5, when he sustained a shoulder injury. The Canadian started his first career CFL game in Week 4 and helped lead the Elks to a 29-25 victory over the Tiger-Cats. He’s the future quarterback of the franchise, but it looks like he won’t start this week.

Chris Jones says QB Tre Ford will dress this week for the #Elks and will be an option in Regina if something happens to Taylor Cornelius Ford hasn’t played since July 7 due to injury

— Morley Scott (@Morley_Scott) September 13, 2022

About the Roughriders (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS, 6-6-1 o/u): The Riders are coming off back-to-back losses to the Blue Bombers and have now fallen below .500 on the season. This team has been ravaged by injuries and illnesses this year, and last week’s flu breakout in the locker room resulted in a lopsided 54-20 victory for Winnipeg.

On Tuesday, starting quarterback Cody Fajardo sprinted off the practice field after learning his wife had gone into labor. The team is expecting him back for Friday’s game, but bettors will want to monitor the situation leading up to kickoff. Mason Fine, who has completed 24 of 37 pass attempts for 301 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions in limited action this season, could be forced into action if Fajardo is delayed.

Cody Fajardo leaves practice with cheers and high-fives from his teammates.

Just an assumption but his wife’s due date was yesterday so would guess that’s related to this early exit. #Riders #CFL

— Britton Gray (@BrittonGray) September 13, 2022

Baby Luca Arrived Sept 14th at 1:42 AM. Mom & baby are happy & healthy. @LauraV_Fajardo is as tough as they come she was absolutely amazing. God really blessed us with this little one! To everyone that has reached out & showered us with love & prayers we can’t thank you enough.

— Cody Fajardo (@CodyFajardo17) September 14, 2022

Sports betting trends:

The Elks are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
The over is 6-2 in Edmonton’s last eight road games.
The under is 4-1 in the past five meetings in Saskatchewan.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats (+8.5, 46.5 o/u)

Previous meeting this season:

Week 3 — Winnipeg 26, Hamilton 12 (Blue Bombers covered as 6-point favorites)

About the Blue Bombers (12-1 SU, 8-5 ATS, 6-7 o/u): The league-best Bombers have rattled off three straight wins after suffering their only loss of the season to Montreal in Week 10. Winnipeg has already clinched a playoff spot, but there’s still work to do in order to secure the top seed in the West Division.

Quarterback Zach Collaros and star defensive end Willie Jefferson were both named CFL performers of the week for their roles in last week’s thrashing of the Roughriders. Collaros threw for 273 yards and four touchdowns without an interception, while Jefferson recorded three tackles, two sacks, and a forced fumble.

Winnipeg’s defense is allowing a league-low 19.2 points per game this season and has held opponents to 20 or fewer points in four of the last five games.

About the Tiger-Cats (3-9 SU, 3-9 ATS, 7-5 o/u): Bettors should pay close attention to the status of quarterback Dane Evans this week. Hamilton’s QB1 is back practicing and appears ready to return from a shoulder injury. However, if he can’t suit up, Hamilton’s second quarterback on the depth chart, Matthew Shiltz, is still out with a wrist injury. That means either Jamie Newman or Jalen Morton, two quarterbacks way down the depth chart, would have to potentially run the offense against the best team in league if Evans can’t go. Yikes.

Hamilton is coming off its bye week and has lost three straight games. The Tiger-Cats also have the league’s worst ATS record (3-9) to this point.

Sports betting trends:

The Blue Bombers are 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings.
The under is 39-19 in the past 58 meetings.
The over is 4-1 in Hamilton’s last five games overall.

Thoughts? 🤔

Your #CFL Writers’ #TotalEnergiesCanada Weekly Picks are in! 👀


— CFL (@CFL) September 13, 2022

BC Lions @ Calgary Stampeders (-6, 52.5 o/u)

Previous meeting this season:

Week 10 — BC 41, Calgary 40 (Lions covered as 1.5-point underdogs)

About the Lions (8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS, 5-5-1 o/u): The Lions are 0-2 since starting quarterback Nathan Rourke suffered a serious foot injury on Aug. 19.

This week, BC will turn to Vernon Adams Jr., who was acquired from Montreal on Aug. 31 in the wake of Rourke’s injury, as its starting quarterback. Adams briefly got into last week’s 31-10 loss to Montreal, completing one pass for 17 yards. The dual-threat QB struggled with the Alouettes early this season, but the Lions are hoping he can return to his 2019 form, when he passed for nearly 4,000 yards and 24 touchdowns.

Lions co-general manager Neil McEvoy revealed during a radio interview this week that Rourke is already back on the field throwing, and the team remains optimistic he can make a late-season return. Despite playing in just nine games prior to suffering his injury, Rourke is still second in the CFL in passing yards (3,281) and touchdowns (25) this season.

The Lions are relying on Adams to hold down the fort for the next several weeks in order to secure a playoff berth. Ideally, Rourke would return for the playoffs and make this team the only legitimate threat to prevent Winnipeg from securing a third straight Grey Cup title.

Earlier today we were joined by @BCLions Co GM @NCMCEVOY and asked him about Nathan Rourke’s recovery and if his timeline is still on track.

Full interview..

— Donnie & Dhali (@DonnieandDhali) September 13, 2022

About the Stampeders (8-4 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 8-4 o/u): The Stampeders have enjoyed pounding the lowly Elks into submission in back-to-back weeks, but now they’ll need to ramp up for a crucial matchup with the Lions.

Calgary was in complete control of its Week 10 matchup with BC before Rourke, who threw for a whopping 488 yards in the contest, led the Lions on an improbable second-half comeback and erased a late 12-point deficit to secure a single-point victory. The Stampeders’ secondary is allowing a league-worst 296.2 passing yards per game this year, and this week, Calgary’s defense will have to game plan for Adams’ dual-threat capabilities.

Oddsmakers have posted the highest total of the week (52.5 points) for this game for a reason, and there should be plenty of scoring on both sides.

Sports betting trends:

The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their past five meetings in Calgary.
The over is 8-1 in Calgary’s past nine games following a win.
The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

Photo: Shutterstock

Author: Ryan Gonzales